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Argument and Counter-argument: Criticising weak arguments

What follows is some genuine interaction, where a correspondent, well placed and knowledgeable in the field he is discussing, reacts impatiently but systematically to what he sees as a weakly-grounded argument and set of assertions. The issue is one most students have experience of: Hong Kongs annual HKCEE and A Level results.

TASK: Read the following extracts from a front page report, and the next days editorial in the South China Morning Post (SCMP), as preparation for an analysis of the letter to the editor.

See Comment 

1. SCMP front page report [8/8/94]

Poor show as Class of ’94 branded ‘bunnies’

w020h1.gif (45 bytes)The class of ’94 graduates today - with the dubious distinction of having collectively achieved the poorest A-Level results in years. It will probably be no surprise: two years ago, they produced outstandingly low achievement in their O-Level examinations.
w020h1.gif (45 bytes)The Examination Authority has branded the students, most of whom were born in 1975 - the Year of the Rabbit - as academic bunnies rather than suggesting that their teachers or the education system might be to blame for their performance.
w020h1.gif (45 bytes)While 75% of students usually passed their A-Levels, barely 70% of the Class of ’94 got through according to the E.A. Secretary.
w020h1.gif (45 bytes)Even the quality of their passes was significantly down on previous years. ‘This is explained by a drop in the calibre of students entering 6th form in 1992, compared with those entering the year before’, the secretary explained.
w020h1.gif (45 bytes)To make matters worse, there are more of them. The 26,088 candidates for the HKCEE was 18% more than last year.
w020h1.gif (45 bytes)Of course, there were brilliant students with 10 As, but educationists were shocked by the overall drop in achievement.
w020h1.gif (45 bytes)They called on the Government and schools to keep an eye on trends and do something to ensure that those born last year, the year of the Chicken, are not dumb-clucks from the Class of 2012.

2. SCMP Editorial [9/8/94]

Some very smart rabbits

w020h1.gif (45 bytes)The Class of 94, which graduated from high school yesterday, has generally been known more for quantity than quality. ... Their A-Level results have been the most disappointing for years. But while the average may be low, that disguises many outstanding individual accomplishments (goes on to offer examples)... One has to ask if the demographic bulge and the poor exam results this year coincidental, or whether the need to accommodate more students has affected standards of education. The Authority says no. It is the students, it says, not the teachers or the education system, which are at fault.
w020h1.gif (45 bytes)But if one or two schools can manage to buck the trend - inevitably the same schools will tend to attract the best students and score the best results each year - it is not possible that the rest of the age-group has been less well served by their educators? If the Class of 94 had been populated with over-achievers, would the Authority have praised the quality of the children - or put it down to good schooling?
w020h1.gif (45 bytes)If the whole Year of the Rabbit age-group is below par, it could be something in the stars or in the lettuce. Or it could be something in the schooling. The way the Authority is pointing fingers away from the schools suggests they might indeed be the problem.

Now go to the reply - the Counter-argument - from the Chief Examination Officer of the Exams Authority.